We are at the cusp of Industrial Revolution 4.0, with the cyber-physical system establishing a synergy between computation and physical components. In lockstep with the technologies, as we move toward Well Construction 4.0 coupled with 360° well-engineering optimization for the ultimate delivery of partial to full automation, an important but complex component to be considered is tubulars in the well.
Tubulars are associated with the drilling system, which is complex and dynamic, with a ratio of length to diameter greater than 100,000. For comparison, for a human hair to have the same length-to-diameter ratio, it would have to be 60 ft long. So, reliability is important in such a highly oscillatory, uncertain, high-dimensionality framework. Tubular modeling should bridge deterministic models and data-informed models. This calls for data-informed, engineering-guided, reinforced reliability- or risk-supported models to describe the non-Gaussian drilling system more realistically.
Risk-based design is very important, especially for these complex systems, because a deterministic approach may not provide a strong underpinning to the reliability estimation of the downhole tools. We have to reduce the probability of failure. One of the areas that needs to be considered is a risk-based design for tubulars that formally identifies the elements and areas of risks by using probability of failure to capture uncertainties rather than incorporating safety factors in the deterministic calculations. Risk should be considered during the design phase, which will allow more freedom to make adjustments, and during the drilling phase. Doing so will also help improve the 360° well-engineering optimization and the additional computational components needed for the future cyber-physical system.
I have selected papers that are structured toward this approach with example problems and solutions.
This Month's Technical Papers
Recommended Additional Reading
SPE 188321 Intelligent Drilling System: Expanding the Envelope of Wired Drillpipe by O. Sehsah, Saudi Aramco, et al.
Robello Samuel, SPE, Technology Fellow, Halliburton
18 May 2018
BP To Sell Alaska Business to Hilcorp
The $5.6-billion deal includes the Prudhoe Bay field and the Trans Alaska Pipeline and vaults Hilcorp to be the second-largest Alaska producer and reserves holder, behind only ConocoPhillips.
Third Oil Spill Reported Off Newfoundland and Labrador
Production from the Hibernia platform was shut down again on 17 August after its second oil spill in a month, while Husky Energy began to ramp up output from the White Rose field following the largest-ever spill off Canada’s easternmost province.
New Technology Enables Development of Norwegian Sea Field
A new enabling technology known as electrically heat-traced flowline (EHTF) will be used to enable system startup and shutdown and to maintain production fluids outside of the hydrate envelope during steady-state operation.
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09 October 2019
11 October 2019
04 October 2019
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